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2012 Decoded Blog

Hillary Clinton

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Jackie Koszczuk

Santorum's Delegate Hunt: He's No Hillary Clinton

By Jackie Koszczuk
March 11, 2012 | 12:22 PM
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Rick Santorum "won big" in Kansas on Saturday as the newspaper headlines today suggest, but the contest for the Republican primary is now all about delegate math, and in that arena, Santorum is still losing, and losing big.

In a sense, the former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania did little more than run in place as a result of yesterday's voting. While Santorum won Kansas with 51 percent of the vote and likely picked up 32 of 40 delegates at stake there, Mitt Romney was quietly tallying up a slightly greater number of delegates - an estimated 38 - in little noticed contests in Wyoming and the territories of Guam, the U.S. Virgin Islands and the Northern Mariana Islands.

At the end of the day, Romney was still outpacing his nearest rival by better than 2-to-1 in total delegates, with the front-runner at 454 and Santorum at 217. (Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich was way behind at 107, and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas was way, way behind at 47.) That means that at this point in the season, Romney has racked up 39.6 percent of the necessary 1,144 delegates to claim the nomination, while Santorum has just 19 percent.

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George E. Condon Jr.

Republicans Need To Perfect Those Election Night Speeches

By George E. Condon Jr.
January 4, 2012 | 1:28 PM
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There must be something in the Iowa air that impels politicians to give off-key speeches after the votes have been cast in the caucuses. Eight years after Howard Dean committed political suicide by screaming out the names of states and four years after Hillary Clinton put so many oldsters on stage that she looked like she was taping an AARP commercial, the Republican candidates Tuesday night gave us so many fresh memories to cherish.

There was Ron Paul declaring, "I'm waiting for the day when we can say we're all Austrians now." The Texas congressman was referring to the Austrian school of economics and his favorite economist, Freidrich von Hayek. But television viewers could be excused if they wondered whether the rally would break into a rousing singing of "Edelweiss." And Paul wasn't finished with the strangeness. In a first in modern American politics, he welcomed to the stage an active-duty soldier wearing his camouflage uniform and critical of American foreign policy.

Corporal Jesse Thorsen, of West Des Moines, is only 28 years old so perhaps he could be excused for forgetting the Defense Department regulation hammered into all members of the Armed Forces that they may not "participate in partisan political... rallies" and "cannot appear at any kind of political forum in uniform." But Paul, himself a veteran, should have known better than to put Thorsen in a position where he could be disciplined by the Army.

A lighter - but also odd - touch was in Rep. Michele Bachmann's valedictory after her sixth place finish. She praised her husband, Marcus, but drew a wince from him when she disclosed that on the day before the caucuses "he was out buying doggie sunglasses for our dog Boomer."

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Tags: 

Bachmann, campaign, Clinton, Gingrich, Iowa, Jesse Jackson, Paul, Romney
Jill Lawrence

Obama's 'Promises Kept' Reminder: Will it Backfire?

By Jill Lawrence
January 3, 2012 | 1:20 PM
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The Obama re-election campaign is marking Iowa caucus day by releasing a video of candidate Obama on caucus night four years ago, when he pulled off his upset victory over Hillary Clinton. With the spotlight at its brightest, all eyes and TV cameras upon him, a very young-looking Barack Obama gave a substantive victory speech outlining what he wanted to do as president.

The 2-minute video, called "2008 Iowa Caucus Victory Speech: Promises Kept," consists of speech excerpts and captions explaining what Obama has accomplished in each area. Leaving aside for a moment the question of how this will play with a depressed nation, it's hard to argue with most of the specifics. Obama promised to end the Iraq war and he did; he promised to cut middle-class taxes and he did; he promised to reform the health care system and he did.


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Tags: 

Obama; Republican nomination race
Jill Lawrence

Did Newt Gingrich Just Have His Teary Hillary Clinton Moment?

By Jill Lawrence
December 30, 2011 | 1:26 PM
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Tears helped save Hillary Clinton's campaign in New Hampshire four years ago. Could they be Newt Gingrich's salvation in Iowa?

(RELATED: Video of Gingrich Tearing Up Below)

The former House speaker, in a statistical three-way tie for third place in the latest Iowa polls, is better known for incendiary ideas and rhetoric than displays of heartfelt emotion. But his tears flowed Friday at a "Moms Matter" event when moderator Frank Luntz asked him about his own mother.

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Tags: 

Republican nomination race, Republican Party, Republican presidential race
Major Garrett

Romney's 1994 Problem

By Major Garrett
December 12, 2011 | 2:44 PM
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To anyone who thought GOP front-runner Newt Gingrich attacked Mitt Romney Saturday by joking he was only one loss to Sen. Edward Kennedy away from "career politician" status, think again.

Compared to what Gingrich could have said, that was no attack. It was practically a Cinnabon served with cold milk.


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Tags: 

1994, abortion, Barack Obama, California primary, Cinnabon, Contract With America, Edward Kennedy, Gingrich, Hillary Clinton, Reagan-Bush, Romney
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